Astros vs Rockies – 7/3/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Predictions
Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies, Wednesday July 3, 2019 (8:10pm et) Current Odds: Astros -135 Total Runs 14.5
The Colorado Rockies are wrapping up one of their toughest homestands of the season: four games against the National League West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers and two against the American League West-leading Houston Astros.
The Rockies have held their own so far, standing at 2-3 with one game to go following a 9-8 loss to Houston on Tuesday.
In the homestand finale on Wednesday, the Astros will send veteran left-hander Wade Miley to the hill to oppose Colorado rookie right-hander Peter Lambert.
Miley (6-4, 3.39 ERA) is coming off of a solid outing against the Seattle Mariners on Friday. He went six innings and gave up just one run on three hits but settled for a no-decision. He has won only one start since May 24, going 1-1 with a 3.76 ERA in June.
Miley is 7-2 with a 3.89 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Rockies, 13 of which were starts.
That ERA could be tested against Colorado on Wednesday. Coors Field has been giving up a lot of runs over the past month and has hurt the stats of All-Star pitchers.
Houston manager A.J. Hinch is familiar with dealing with playing in Denver from his days as a skipper with the Arizona Diamondbacks. He pointed out the home runs aren’t as much of an issue as the vast outfield.
“Everyone automatically thinks it’s about the fly balls,” Hinch told reporters before Tuesday’s game. “Fly balls fly out of the park here. It’s the ground balls and the singles that turn into doubles and make this offensive park even more intimidating.
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“I was in the NL West for a little bit of my post-playing career. And when you see ground balls hit and the outfield’s playing so deep, it turns a ground ball into a double. That can create a lot of momentum and a lot of offense in this ballpark.”
For that reason, Hinch went with his best defensive outfielders Tuesday and didn’t start Yordan Alvarez, who is hitting .317. And Hinch doesn’t plan on starting him Wednesday.
“Their dugout will be very aware when he’s moving around the dugout and getting a helmet and getting ready to hit,” Hinch said. “He’s going to be a force to come off the bench for a critical at-bat. If we need a big at-bat, he’s going to be in there.”
Lambert, who made his major league debut a month ago, allowed a total of two runs in winning each of his first two starts. In the three outings since, however, he has given up 16 runs. In all, he is 2-0 with a 6.57 ERA.
Lambert isn’t the only culprit on the staff. Colorado starters and relievers are getting hit hard, including Tuesday night.
“We have to get some things in order on the pitching side,” manager Bud Black said Sunday. “On any given night, we have 13 pitchers, and we need a number of guys — double-digit guys — pitching well. We can’t have a guy pitch good, a guy pitch bad. We need consistent pitching from our rotation and our bullpen.”
411Winners Pick and Prediction: Under 14.5 Total Runs