NCAA Basketball Odds & Preview — TCU Horned Frogs at West Virginia Mountaineers
The TCU Horned Frogs are probably not going to be left out of the NCAA Tournament field, although you never know if it is going to come down to how they do in the Big 12 tourney. For them it has been a season of “almosts,” and on Monday they will have to be very decisive on the offensive end as they visit the West Virginia Mountaineers in a conference game that is set to get underway at 9 PM ET at the WVU Coliseum in Morgantown. If you are a BetAnySports customer, you’re in luck, because not only do you get to access reduced juice, which offers you a lot of value, you can also place wagers even after the game tips off, utilizing the state-of-the-art software from Live Betting Ultra.
We’re not sure how far West Virginia is going to drop in its national ranking after Saturday’s 88-85 home loss to Oklahoma State, but they were 17th in the Coaches poll and 19th in the Associated Press rankings the last time the vote was tabulated. The Mountaineers have lost six of their last nine games, and the very fact that they have stayed in the rankings is a testament to how competitive the atmosphere is in the Big 12, where every one of the teams will probably find themselves engaged in some kind of post-season play.
Against OSU they didn’t do what they have come to rely on. They did not force a lot of turnovers – only thirteen, in fact – and for a team that has allowed opponents to shoot just 45% from two-point range, it was kind of disappointing that they allowed the Cowboys to hit 50% inside the arc, pull down a dozen offensive rebounds and get to the line 36 times. Now they come into Monday night’s game looking for a little revenge, as TCU beat them 82-73 on January 22.
In the NCAA basketball odds that have been posted on this game by the people at BetAnySports, the Mountaineers are the favorites:
West Virginia Mountaineers -6
TCU Horned Frogs +6
Over 158.5 points -110
Under 158.5 points -110
TCU has battled on even terms with most of their Big 12 opponents, with a chance to win late in seven of their eight defeats. That includes Kansas and Oklahoma twice each. Only Texas Tech has beaten them by more than seven points. But they’ve had problems closing games out. This is a battle-tested crew, as they won last year’s NIT, and they have veteran leadership, as Jamie Dixon got back most of the big-time performers from that squad. One of them, Vladimir Brodziansky, is a finesse-oriented 6-11 big man who had 25 points last time out against Texas (an 87-71 win) but went 0-6 from three-point range when these teams last met.
So what saved TCU on that day? Well, the Mountaineers couldn’t hit the side of a barn, shooting just 33.3% overall and 37.5% on two-point shots. No; shooting is not WVU’s long suit, but defense is not what TCU does best either; the Frogs allow 38% from beyond the arc and 46% overall, and neither of those figures are going to help them advance that far in the Big Dance.
West Virginia forces turnovers at a rate that is second-highest in the country, and they are generally pretty good defending inside the arc (ranked 22nd in that category). TCU is very big on ball movement, so they could use all the ball-handlers they can get, and they won’t have Jaylen Fisher, who had been starting at point guard, for the rest of the season because of a knee injury. And TCU has a challenge dealing with WVU’s tenacious board work, as they pull down almost 37% of available offensive rebounds. The Mountaineers were embarrassed in Fort Worth, so we’ll move with them to create some distance between themselves and the Frogs here.
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