Monday Night NFL Picks — Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks
For the Atlanta Falcons, it has become evident that the wild card route to the playoffs is the more feasible avenue for them to pursue, and that is why the visit they have to make to the Pacific Northwest has to bear some fruit. In Monday night NFL action, they will meet up with the Seattle Seahawks in a game that starts at 8:30 PM ET at CenturyLink Field. If you are a BetAnySports customer, you’ll have the chance to stay involved in the action even after the opening kickoff as you take advantage of what Live Betting Ultra has to offer.
Atlanta has averaged a little less than 22 points per game, and they have tapered off after winning their first three outings. At 5-4 straight-up (3-6 ATS), they will fall three games behind the New Orleans Saints in the NFC South if they lose here. If they manage to win, they are within striking distance, and they still have to play the Saints twice. Matt Ryan, last year’s MVP, has 13 touchdown passes and eight interceptions, and those kind of numbers won’t even get him back to the Pro Bowl.
Seattle probably didn’t expect that the Los Angeles Rams would be so formidable, and all indications are that they will be battling with Sean McVay’s team to the wire. The Seahawks are 6-3 straight-up and 3-5-1 against the football pointspread, and because the Rams lost at Minnesota on Sunday, they can pull into a first-place tie in the NFC West with a win.
Atlanta won both meetings between these teams last season, including a 36-20 victory in the NFC playoffs. But with last year’s offensive coordinator, Kyle Shanahan, having gone to the San Francisco 49ers, replaced by Steve Sarkisian, who coached at the University of Washington, this offense looks and produces differently.
In the odds at BetAnySports upon which we will make our Monday night football picks, the Seahawks are the slight favorites:
Seattle Seahawks -1.5
Atlanta Falcons +1.5
Over 45.5 points -110
Under 45.5 points -110
The Falcons are third in the NFL in yards gained per drive, but they have scored over 30 points only once, and that does not at all resemble the juggernaut they were last year. And after winning their first three games of this season, they have become positively low-octane, scoring just 110 points over their last six, during which time they have gone 2-4 straight-up and 1-5 against the number.
Davonta Freeman is not expected to be available for the Falcons, as he has a concussion, and that means it wouldn’t be a combo in the Atlanta backfield, but instead a solo play for Tevin Coleman, who was a workhorse back at Indiana University but hasn’t done that kind of thing in the pros yet. He has averaged 4.8 yards per carry and caught 17 passes.
The Seahawks have not run the ball well, which leaves a lot in the hands of Russell Wilson (19 TD’s, six INT’s), who has found tight end Jimmy Graham six times for paydirt in the last five games. They’ve been somewhat inconsistent moving the chains, as they have gone three-and-out 30.5% of the time – only one team has done that more frequently.
What Seattle has to do is compensate for the loss of Richard Sherman (Achilles injury), and that means pressure on Jeremy Lane, who should have Julio Jones (49 receptions, 715 yards) as his principal responsibility. Ryan has been sacked only 15 times, and Seattle doesn’t go crazy with blitzes, so that should be interesting to see.
But this number isn’t so bad for the Seahawks, especially if they can protect Wilson sufficiently from an Atlanta pass rush that sacked Dak Prescott eight times last week. We’ll lay the point and a half.
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